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Championship · Fixtures

Bolton 1–5 Middlesbrough

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 12 · Fri 23 Oct, 19:00 UTC · Full time

1 – 5

Bolton 1–5 Middlesbrough — Middlesbrough won. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated Middlesbrough to win at 58%, and the exact 1–5 scoreline at about 2%.

Pre-match model view

Bolton win
22%
Draw
20%
Middlesbrough win
58%
Most likely score1–2
Projected goals1.3 – 2.3
Over 2.5 goals70%
Both teams score66%
BoltonWLWDL19th · 14 pts
MiddlesbroughDWWDW1st · 25 pts

Ahead of Bolton v Middlesbrough in the Championship on 23 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Middlesbrough the most likely outcome at 58%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–2, with projected goals of 1.3 for Bolton and 2.3 for Middlesbrough. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and 66% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Bolton goals down (↓), Middlesbrough goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 1 meeting — Bolton 0W · 0D · 1L.

Bolton1–5Middlesbrough

Recent form

Bolton
Lvs Middlesbrough1–5
D@ Southampton0–0
W@ Wolverhampton3–1
Lvs Stoke1–2
W@ Norwich4–3
Middlesbrough
W@ Bolton5–1
Dvs Cardiff2–2
W@ Stoke3–2
Wvs Wolverhampton1–0
D@ Birmingham2–2

FAQ

Who will win Bolton vs Middlesbrough?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Middlesbrough the most likely result at 58%. Full split: Bolton win 22%, draw 20%, Middlesbrough win 58%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Bolton vs Middlesbrough?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–2 (Bolton 1–2 Middlesbrough). Projected goals: Bolton 1.3, Middlesbrough 2.3.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Bolton vs Middlesbrough played?

Bolton host Middlesbrough at University of Bolton Stadium in the Championship on 23 October 2026.

What is the Bolton vs Middlesbrough head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meeting in our data, Bolton have 0 wins, Middlesbrough 1, and 0 were drawn.

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