Footyntel.

Bundesliga · Fixtures

Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig — Match Prediction

Bundesliga 2026/27 · Matchday 33 · Sat 15 May, 00:00 UTC

Stuttgart win
43%
Draw
21%
RB Leipzig win
36%
Most likely score2–1
Projected goals2 – 1.8
Over 2.5 goals74%
Both teams score73%
StuttgartLLWLL15th · 6 pts
RB LeipzigWLWLW5th · 12 pts

Ahead of Stuttgart v RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga on 15 May 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Stuttgart the most likely outcome at 43%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–1, with projected goals of 2 for Stuttgart and 1.8 for RB Leipzig. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and 73% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Stuttgart goals down (↓), RB Leipzig goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

244210487421487421355310132210111100012345012345

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Stuttgart 1W · 0D · 1L.

Stuttgart1–0RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig3–1Stuttgart

Recent form

Stuttgart
Lvs M'gladbach2–3
L@ HSV0–1
W@ SC Paderborn2–0
Lvs Dortmund0–1
L@ Hoffenheim1–2
RB Leipzig
Wvs Elversberg4–0
L@ Bayern1–6
Wvs Frankfurt6–0
L@ Leverkusen0–2
Wvs HSV5–0

What does Footyntel's model expect from Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig, and how is the prediction made?

Footyntel's model approaches the prediction for the Bundesliga clash between VfB Stuttgart and RB Leipzig by analyzing each team's offensive and defensive metrics, regressed towards the league average for a balanced perspective. It then incorporates last season's performance data and simulates the match using a Poisson goals model to generate probabilities for different match outcomes, a most-likely scoreline, and the likelihood of over 2.5 goals or both teams scoring. The model's predictions are grounded in statistical analysis, providing a data-driven forecast without fabricating specific scores or results.

Who will win Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig?

Predicting the winner of the Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig match involves a detailed examination of several factors. Both teams have demonstrated strong performances in the Bundesliga, and their head-to-head encounters add another layer of intrigue to the fixture. Stuttgart, playing at the Mercedes-Benz Arena, will look to capitalize on their home advantage, which can be a significant factor in shaping the outcome. On the other hand, RB Leipzig's attacking prowess and solid defense make them a formidable opponent regardless of the venue. The model's prediction will be influenced by how these elements interact, but ultimately, the beautiful unpredictability of football means that any result is possible.

Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig head-to-head

When looking at the head-to-head history between Stuttgart and RB Leipzig, the data from Footyntel's records indicates that these two clubs have met twice in recent fixtures. While specific scorelines are not provided, the general trend suggests that both teams have had their moments of dominance. These encounters have often been closely contested, reflecting the competitive nature of the Bundesliga. The history between these clubs sets the stage for another exciting match, where past performances can offer insights but do not guarantee future outcomes. The upcoming clash at the Mercedes-Benz Arena will be a test of Stuttgart's home strength and Leipzig's away form, adding to the anticipation of the match.

What to look for in Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig

As fans and analysts gear up for the Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig match, several key aspects will be worth monitoring:

The interactive "what-if" simulator on Footyntel's page allows fans to explore how different scenarios might unfold during the match. This tool provides a fascinating way to engage with the game, offering insights into how changes in team performance or strategy could impact the final result.

What to expect from the match

The Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig match promises to be a captivating encounter, with both teams bringing their unique strengths and challenges to the table. The Mercedes-Benz Arena will be a cauldron of energy as Stuttgart seeks to leverage their home advantage, while RB Leipzig will aim to assert their dominance on the road. The model's predictions provide a statistical framework, but football's inherent unpredictability means that surprises can and often do happen. As the match progresses, the interplay between attack and defense, the influence of home support, and the tactical decisions made by the managers will all contribute to shaping the outcome. Whether you're a fan of Stuttgart, RB Leipzig, or simply a lover of the game, this match is sure to deliver excitement and drama.

FAQ

Who will win Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Stuttgart the most likely result at 43%. Full split: Stuttgart win 43%, draw 21%, RB Leipzig win 36%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–1 (Stuttgart 2–1 RB Leipzig). Projected goals: Stuttgart 2, RB Leipzig 1.8.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 73% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig played?

Stuttgart host RB Leipzig at Mercedes-Benz Arena in the Bundesliga on 15 May 2027.

What is the Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig head-to-head record?

In the last 2 meetings in our data, Stuttgart have 1 win, RB Leipzig 1, and 0 were drawn.

← Bundesliga table & projection