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Bundesliga · Fixtures

Mainz 2–3 Bremen

Bundesliga 2026/27 · Matchday 7 · Sat 24 Oct, 13:30 UTC · Full time

2 – 3

Mainz 2–3 Bremen — Bremen won. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated Bremen to win at 18%, and the exact 2–3 scoreline at about 2%.

Pre-match model view

Mainz win
64%
Draw
18%
Bremen win
18%
Most likely score2–1
Projected goals2.5 – 1.3
Over 2.5 goals72%
Both teams score66%
MainzLWLWL7th · 10 pts
BremenDWDDW6th · 12 pts

Ahead of Mainz v Bremen in the Bundesliga on 24 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Mainz the most likely outcome at 64%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–1, with projected goals of 2.5 for Mainz and 1.3 for Bremen. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and 66% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Mainz goals down (↓), Bremen goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings — Mainz 1W · 1D · 1L.

Mainz2–3Bremen
Bremen0–2Mainz
Mainz1–1Bremen

Recent form

Mainz
Lvs Bremen2–3
W@ Schalke1–0
Lvs Leverkusen3–4
W@ M'gladbach4–3
Lvs Frankfurt1–3
Bremen
W@ Mainz3–2
Dvs SC Paderborn2–2
D@ Dortmund2–2
Wvs Augsburg3–2
D@ 1. FC Köln1–1

FAQ

Who will win Mainz vs Bremen?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Mainz the most likely result at 64%. Full split: Mainz win 64%, draw 18%, Bremen win 18%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Mainz vs Bremen?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–1 (Mainz 2–1 Bremen). Projected goals: Mainz 2.5, Bremen 1.3.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Mainz vs Bremen played?

Mainz host Bremen at Opel Arena in the Bundesliga on 24 October 2026.

What is the Mainz vs Bremen head-to-head record?

In the last 3 meetings in our data, Mainz have 1 win, Bremen 1, and 1 was drawn.

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