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Bundesliga · Fixtures

Leverkusen 2–1 Freiburg

Bundesliga 2026/27 · Matchday 6 · Sun 18 Oct, 13:30 UTC · Full time

2 – 1

Leverkusen 2–1 Freiburg — Leverkusen won. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated Leverkusen to win at 62%, and the exact 2–1 scoreline at about 9%.

Pre-match model view

Leverkusen win
62%
Draw
19%
Freiburg win
20%
Most likely score2–1
Projected goals2.5 – 1.4
Over 2.5 goals73%
Both teams score68%
LeverkusenDWWWL4th · 13 pts
FreiburgWDWLL3rd · 13 pts

Ahead of Leverkusen v Freiburg in the Bundesliga on 18 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Leverkusen the most likely outcome at 62%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–1, with projected goals of 2.5 for Leverkusen and 1.4 for Freiburg. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and 68% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Leverkusen goals down (↓), Freiburg goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings — Leverkusen 2W · 1D · 0L.

Leverkusen2–1Freiburg
Freiburg3–3Leverkusen
Leverkusen2–0Freiburg

Recent form

Leverkusen
L@ Hoffenheim0–3
Wvs Freiburg2–1
W@ Mainz4–3
Wvs RB Leipzig2–0
D@ Augsburg2–2
Freiburg
Lvs Bayern1–3
L@ Leverkusen1–2
Wvs Schalke2–1
D@ Frankfurt2–2
Wvs M'gladbach5–0

FAQ

Who will win Leverkusen vs Freiburg?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Leverkusen the most likely result at 62%. Full split: Leverkusen win 62%, draw 19%, Freiburg win 20%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Leverkusen vs Freiburg?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–1 (Leverkusen 2–1 Freiburg). Projected goals: Leverkusen 2.5, Freiburg 1.4.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Leverkusen vs Freiburg played?

Leverkusen host Freiburg at BayArena in the Bundesliga on 18 October 2026.

What is the Leverkusen vs Freiburg head-to-head record?

In the last 3 meetings in our data, Leverkusen have 2 wins, Freiburg 0, and 1 was drawn.

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