Leverkusen 2–1 Freiburg
Bundesliga 2026/27 · Matchday 6 · Sun 18 Oct, 13:30 UTC · Full time
Pre-match model view
Ahead of Leverkusen v Freiburg in the Bundesliga on 18 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Leverkusen the most likely outcome at 62%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–1, with projected goals of 2.5 for Leverkusen and 1.4 for Freiburg. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and 68% chance both teams score.
Scoreline probability
Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Leverkusen goals down (↓), Freiburg goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.
Head-to-head
Last 3 meetings — Leverkusen 2W · 1D · 0L.
Recent form
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Leverkusen winDrawFreiburg win
FAQ
Who will win Leverkusen vs Freiburg?
Footyntel's model makes a home win for Leverkusen the most likely result at 62%. Full split: Leverkusen win 62%, draw 19%, Freiburg win 20%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.
What is the predicted score for Leverkusen vs Freiburg?
The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–1 (Leverkusen 2–1 Freiburg). Projected goals: Leverkusen 2.5, Freiburg 1.4.
Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring.
Where is Leverkusen vs Freiburg played?
Leverkusen host Freiburg at BayArena in the Bundesliga on 18 October 2026.
What is the Leverkusen vs Freiburg head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings in our data, Leverkusen have 2 wins, Freiburg 0, and 1 was drawn.