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Bundesliga · Fixtures

Freiburg 1–3 Bayern

Bundesliga 2026/27 · Matchday 7 · Sun 25 Oct, 16:30 UTC · Full time

1 – 3

Freiburg 1–3 Bayern — Bayern won. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated Bayern to win at 63%, and the exact 1–3 scoreline at about 8%.

Pre-match model view

Freiburg win
19%
Draw
18%
Bayern win
63%
Most likely score1–2
Projected goals1.4 – 2.6
Over 2.5 goals75%
Both teams score69%
FreiburgWDWLL3rd · 13 pts
BayernWWDWW1st · 17 pts

Ahead of Freiburg v Bayern in the Bundesliga on 25 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Bayern the most likely outcome at 63%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–2, with projected goals of 1.4 for Freiburg and 2.6 for Bayern. There is a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals and 69% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Freiburg goals down (↓), Bayern goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings — Freiburg 0W · 0D · 3L.

Freiburg1–3Bayern
Freiburg2–3Bayern
Bayern6–2Freiburg

Recent form

Freiburg
Lvs Bayern1–3
L@ Leverkusen1–2
Wvs Schalke2–1
D@ Frankfurt2–2
Wvs M'gladbach5–0
Bayern
W@ Freiburg3–1
Wvs RB Leipzig6–1
D@ Augsburg2–2
Wvs Union Berlin7–0
W@ Elversberg2–1
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Freiburg winDrawBayern win

FAQ

Who will win Freiburg vs Bayern?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Bayern the most likely result at 63%. Full split: Freiburg win 19%, draw 18%, Bayern win 63%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Freiburg vs Bayern?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–2 (Freiburg 1–2 Bayern). Projected goals: Freiburg 1.4, Bayern 2.6.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Freiburg vs Bayern played?

Freiburg host Bayern at Schwarzwald-Stadion in the Bundesliga on 25 October 2026.

What is the Freiburg vs Bayern head-to-head record?

In the last 3 meetings in our data, Freiburg have 0 wins, Bayern 3, and 0 were drawn.

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