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Bundesliga · Fixtures

Dortmund vs Stuttgart — Match Prediction

Bundesliga 2026/27 · Matchday 21 · Sat 13 Feb, 00:00 UTC

Dortmund win
75%
Draw
16%
Stuttgart win
9%
Most likely score2–0
Projected goals2.4 – 0.7
Over 2.5 goals59%
Both teams score46%
DortmundWWDDW2nd · 17 pts
StuttgartLLWLL15th · 6 pts

Ahead of Dortmund v Stuttgart in the Bundesliga on 13 February 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Dortmund the most likely outcome at 75%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–0, with projected goals of 2.4 for Dortmund and 0.7 for Stuttgart. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and 46% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Dortmund goals down (↓), Stuttgart goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings — Dortmund 2W · 1D · 0L.

Stuttgart0–1Dortmund
Stuttgart0–2Dortmund
Dortmund3–3Stuttgart

Recent form

Dortmund
Wvs Frankfurt1–0
D@ Union Berlin0–0
Dvs Bremen2–2
W@ Stuttgart1–0
Wvs SC Paderborn3–0
Stuttgart
Lvs M'gladbach2–3
L@ HSV0–1
W@ SC Paderborn2–0
Lvs Dortmund0–1
L@ Hoffenheim1–2

What Does Footyntel's Model Predict for Dortmund vs Stuttgart?

Footyntel's model anticipates a closely contested match between Borussia Dortmund and VfB Stuttgart, leveraging a blend of statistical analysis and historical performance. The prediction process involves evaluating each team's attacking and defensive metrics, regressing early-season data toward the league average, and factoring in last season's form. The model then simulates the match using a Poisson goals model to generate probabilities for different match outcomes, including win/loss/draw scenarios and projected scorelines.

How Does Home Advantage at Signal Iduna Park Influence the Dortmund vs Stuttgart Prediction?

Signal Iduna Park is renowned for its electrifying atmosphere and has historically provided a significant advantage for Borussia Dortmund. The model takes into account the impact of home advantage, which often boosts Dortmund's performance, particularly in terms of goal scoring and defensive stability. Stuttgart, on the other hand, will need to contend with the pressure of playing away from home, where they may face challenges in maintaining their usual attacking rhythm and defensive discipline.

Who Will Win Dortmund vs Stuttgart?

Predicting the winner of Dortmund vs Stuttgart involves a nuanced analysis of both teams' current form and historical performance. Borussia Dortmund, with their strong home record and potent attacking options, are likely to be favored by the model. However, VfB Stuttgart's resilience and tactical approach could pose a significant challenge. The model's prediction will be influenced by factors such as:

Ultimately, the model's projection will reflect the balance between Dortmund's home strength and Stuttgart's potential to cause an upset.

Dortmund vs Stuttgart Head-to-Head: What Does History Tell Us?

Historical encounters between Borussia Dortmund and VfB Stuttgart provide valuable insights, though specific match data from recent years is limited in this preview. Both teams have a rich history in the Bundesliga, and their head-to-head matches are often characterized by intense competition and tactical battles. The model considers the general trend of these encounters, which often see both teams scoring and the match outcome hinging on fine margins. While Dortmund may have had the upper hand in recent meetings, Stuttgart's ability to challenge Dortmund cannot be underestimated.

What to Look for in Dortmund vs Stuttgart?

Several key aspects will shape the outcome of Dortmund vs Stuttgart:

Attack and Defense Balance: Dortmund's attack, led by their dynamic forward line, is expected to be a major factor. Their ability to break down Stuttgart's defense will be crucial. Conversely, Stuttgart's defense will need to be at its best to contain Dortmund's attacking threats. Stuttgart's attack, while not as prolific as Dortmund's, has the potential to exploit any defensive lapses.

Home Advantage: The atmosphere at Signal Iduna Park can be a game-changer. Dortmund's players are likely to draw energy from the crowd, which could enhance their performance. Stuttgart will need to manage the pressure and find ways to silence the home crowd.

Tactical Approaches: The managers' tactical decisions will play a significant role. Dortmund's manager may opt for an aggressive approach, while Stuttgart's manager could focus on a more cautious strategy, aiming to hit Dortmund on the counter.

Player Form and Fitness: The form and fitness of key players will be critical. Dortmund will rely on their star players to deliver, while Stuttgart will hope for standout performances from their key contributors.

Interactive Tools: Enhancing Your Match Analysis

Footyntel offers interactive tools that allow you to delve deeper into the Dortmund vs Stuttgart match. The scoreline-probability heatmap provides a visual representation of the likelihood of various outcomes, helping you understand the model's prediction in greater detail. Additionally, the interactive "what-if" simulator lets you explore how different scenarios might affect the match outcome. These tools empower you to make informed predictions and engage more deeply with the match.

The Unpredictability of Football: An Honest Note

While Footyntel's model provides a data-driven prediction, it's important to acknowledge the inherent unpredictability of football. Unexpected events, such as a key player's injury or a moment of individual brilliance, can significantly alter the course of a match. Therefore, while the model offers valuable insights, it cannot account for every variable. Approach the Dortmund vs Stuttgart match with an open mind, and enjoy the thrill of the game.

FAQ

Who will win Dortmund vs Stuttgart?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Dortmund the most likely result at 75%. Full split: Dortmund win 75%, draw 16%, Stuttgart win 9%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Dortmund vs Stuttgart?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–0 (Dortmund 2–0 Stuttgart). Projected goals: Dortmund 2.4, Stuttgart 0.7.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Dortmund vs Stuttgart played?

Dortmund host Stuttgart at Signal Iduna Park in the Bundesliga on 13 February 2027.

What is the Dortmund vs Stuttgart head-to-head record?

In the last 3 meetings in our data, Dortmund have 2 wins, Stuttgart 0, and 1 was drawn.

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