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Bundesliga · Fixtures

Bremen vs Elversberg — Match Prediction

Bundesliga 2026/27 · Matchday 17 · Sat 16 Jan, 00:00 UTC

Bremen win
57%
Draw
20%
Elversberg win
23%
Most likely score2–1
Projected goals2.3 – 1.4
Over 2.5 goals72%
Both teams score69%
BremenDWDDW6th · 12 pts
ElversbergLDLWL8th · 10 pts

Ahead of Bremen v Elversberg in the Bundesliga on 16 January 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Bremen the most likely outcome at 57%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–1, with projected goals of 2.3 for Bremen and 1.4 for Elversberg. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and 69% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Bremen goals down (↓), Elversberg goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Recent form

Bremen
W@ Mainz3–2
Dvs SC Paderborn2–2
D@ Dortmund2–2
Wvs Augsburg3–2
D@ 1. FC Köln1–1
Elversberg
L@ RB Leipzig0–4
Wvs Augsburg4–3
L@ Union Berlin0–1
D@ Schalke0–0
Lvs Bayern1–2

What does Footyntel's model expect from Bremen vs Elversberg, and how is the prediction made?

Footyntel's model predicts the outcome of the Bundesliga clash between SV Werder Bremen and SV 07 Elversberg by analyzing each team's attacking and defensive performance so far this season, while also considering their form from the previous campaign. The model then simulates the match using a Poisson goals model to generate win/draw/win probabilities, a most-likely scoreline, and projections for total goals and other key metrics. This approach provides a data-driven forecast that reflects the current strengths and weaknesses of both Bremen and Elversberg.

Who will win Bremen vs Elversberg?

Predicting the winner of any football match involves a degree of uncertainty, but Footyntel's model offers a statistical perspective based on the available data. When assessing the Bremen vs Elversberg fixture, several factors come into play:

By blending these elements, the model provides a probabilistic forecast, but football's inherent unpredictability means that surprises can always occur.

Bremen vs Elversberg head-to-head

When looking at the head-to-head history between Bremen and Elversberg, data is somewhat limited, especially in recent years. This scarcity of direct encounters makes it challenging to draw definitive conclusions about their competitive dynamics. However, some general observations can be made:

Historically, matches between teams of differing pedigree in the Bundesliga often see the more established side, like Bremen, having a psychological advantage. This is not just due to past achievements but also because of the experience and depth of quality within their squad. Elversberg, as a team that has recently ascended to the Bundesliga, will be eager to prove themselves against a storied club like Bremen.

While specific past results are not detailed here, the broader context of each team's history in the Bundesliga suggests that Bremen might have an edge in terms of experience and familiarity with the league's challenges. However, Elversberg's recent form and their approach to the match could potentially level the playing field.

What to look for in Bremen vs Elversberg

As the match approaches, several key aspects will be worth monitoring:

Ultimately, while statistical models provide valuable insights, football remains a sport where anything can happen. The interplay of skill, strategy, and sometimes sheer luck ensures that matches like Bremen vs Elversberg are always intriguing and full of surprises.

FAQ

Who will win Bremen vs Elversberg?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Bremen the most likely result at 57%. Full split: Bremen win 57%, draw 20%, Elversberg win 23%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Bremen vs Elversberg?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–1 (Bremen 2–1 Elversberg). Projected goals: Bremen 2.3, Elversberg 1.4.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Bremen vs Elversberg played?

Bremen host Elversberg at Weserstadion in the Bundesliga on 16 January 2027.

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