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Bundesliga · Fixtures

Bayern 6–1 RB Leipzig

Bundesliga 2026/27 · Matchday 6 · Sat 17 Oct, 16:30 UTC · Full time

6 – 1

Bayern 6–1 RB Leipzig — Bayern won. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated Bayern to win at 86%, and the exact 6–1 scoreline at about 4%.

Pre-match model view

Bayern win
86%
Draw
8%
RB Leipzig win
5%
Most likely score4–1
Projected goals4 – 1.1
Over 2.5 goals88%
Both teams score65%
BayernWWDWW1st · 17 pts
RB LeipzigWLWLW5th · 12 pts

Ahead of Bayern v RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga on 17 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Bayern the most likely outcome at 86%. The single most probable scoreline is 4–1, with projected goals of 4 for Bayern and 1.1 for RB Leipzig. There is a 88% chance of over 2.5 goals and 65% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Bayern goals down (↓), RB Leipzig goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings — Bayern 3W · 0D · 0L.

Bayern6–1RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig1–5Bayern
Bayern6–0RB Leipzig

Recent form

Bayern
W@ Freiburg3–1
Wvs RB Leipzig6–1
D@ Augsburg2–2
Wvs Union Berlin7–0
W@ Elversberg2–1
RB Leipzig
Wvs Elversberg4–0
L@ Bayern1–6
Wvs Frankfurt6–0
L@ Leverkusen0–2
Wvs HSV5–0
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Bayern winDrawRB Leipzig win

FAQ

Who will win Bayern vs RB Leipzig?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Bayern the most likely result at 86%. Full split: Bayern win 86%, draw 8%, RB Leipzig win 5%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Bayern vs RB Leipzig?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 4–1 (Bayern 4–1 RB Leipzig). Projected goals: Bayern 4, RB Leipzig 1.1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 88% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Bayern vs RB Leipzig played?

Bayern host RB Leipzig at Allianz Arena in the Bundesliga on 17 October 2026.

What is the Bayern vs RB Leipzig head-to-head record?

In the last 3 meetings in our data, Bayern have 3 wins, RB Leipzig 0, and 0 were drawn.

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