Footyntel.

Bundesliga · Fixtures

Augsburg 1–1 Union Berlin

Bundesliga 2026/27 · Matchday 7 · Sat 24 Oct, 13:30 UTC · Full time

1 – 1

Augsburg 1–1 Union Berlin — the sides drew. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated a draw at 13%, and the exact 1–1 scoreline at about 6%.

Pre-match model view

Augsburg win
77%
Draw
13%
Union Berlin win
9%
Most likely score2–0
Projected goals2.9 – 1
Over 2.5 goals74%
Both teams score58%
AugsburgDLDLD9th · 9 pts
Union BerlinLLWDD17th · 6 pts

Ahead of Augsburg v Union Berlin in the Bundesliga on 24 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Augsburg the most likely outcome at 77%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–0, with projected goals of 2.9 for Augsburg and 1 for Union Berlin. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and 58% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Augsburg goals down (↓), Union Berlin goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

221000663100984100984100663100432100012345012345

Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings — Augsburg 0W · 2D · 1L.

Augsburg1–1Union Berlin
Union Berlin4–0Augsburg
Augsburg1–1Union Berlin

Recent form

Augsburg
Dvs Union Berlin1–1
L@ Elversberg3–4
Dvs Bayern2–2
L@ Bremen2–3
Dvs Leverkusen2–2
Union Berlin
D@ Augsburg1–1
Dvs Dortmund0–0
Wvs Elversberg1–0
L@ Bayern0–7
Lvs Schalke1–3
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Augsburg winDrawUnion Berlin win

FAQ

Who will win Augsburg vs Union Berlin?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Augsburg the most likely result at 77%. Full split: Augsburg win 77%, draw 13%, Union Berlin win 9%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Augsburg vs Union Berlin?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–0 (Augsburg 2–0 Union Berlin). Projected goals: Augsburg 2.9, Union Berlin 1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Augsburg vs Union Berlin played?

Augsburg host Union Berlin at WWK Arena in the Bundesliga on 24 October 2026.

What is the Augsburg vs Union Berlin head-to-head record?

In the last 3 meetings in our data, Augsburg have 0 wins, Union Berlin 1, and 2 were drawn.

← Bundesliga table & projection