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Brasileirão Série A · Fixtures

Vitória 1–1 Paranaense

Brasileirão Série A 2026 · Matchday 32 · Sat 24 Oct, 19:30 UTC · Full time

1 – 1

Vitória 1–1 Paranaense — the sides drew. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated a draw at 27%, and the exact 1–1 scoreline at about 13%.

Pre-match model view

Vitória win
31%
Draw
27%
Paranaense win
42%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.1 – 1.4
Over 2.5 goals46%
Both teams score51%
VitóriaLWLDD14th · 38 pts
ParanaenseWDWLD4th · 54 pts

Ahead of Vitória v Paranaense in the Brasileirão Série A on 24 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Paranaense the most likely outcome at 42%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.1 for Vitória and 1.4 for Paranaense. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and 51% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Vitória goals down (↓), Paranaense goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

81184109139410575210232100111000000000012345012345

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Vitória 0W · 1D · 1L.

Vitória1–1Paranaense
Paranaense3–1Vitória

Recent form

Vitória
Dvs Paranaense1–1
D@ Corinthians1–1
L@ São Paulo1–2
Wvs Chapecoense4–0
Lvs Cruzeiro1–3
Paranaense
D@ Vitória1–1
Lvs Palmeiras0–2
W@ Chapecoense4–1
Dvs Mineiro2–2
Wvs Bahia2–1

FAQ

Who will win Vitória vs Paranaense?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Paranaense the most likely result at 42%. Full split: Vitória win 31%, draw 27%, Paranaense win 42%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Vitória vs Paranaense?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Vitória 1–1 Paranaense). Projected goals: Vitória 1.1, Paranaense 1.4.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Vitória vs Paranaense played?

Vitória host Paranaense at Estádio Manoel Barradas in the Brasileirão Série A on 24 October 2026.

What is the Vitória vs Paranaense head-to-head record?

In the last 2 meetings in our data, Vitória have 0 wins, Paranaense 1, and 1 was drawn.

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