Brasileirão Série A · Fixtures
Vasco da Gama 3–2 Corinthians
Brasileirão Série A 2026 · Matchday 32 · Sat 24 Oct, 21:30 UTC · Full time
Pre-match model view
Ahead of Vasco da Gama v Corinthians in the Brasileirão Série A on 24 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Vasco da Gama the most likely outcome at 47%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.5 for Vasco da Gama and 1 for Corinthians. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and 50% chance both teams score.
Scoreline probability
Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Vasco da Gama goals down (↓), Corinthians goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.
Head-to-head
Last 4 meetings — Vasco da Gama 1W · 0D · 3L.
Recent form
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Vasco da Gama winDrawCorinthians win
FAQ
Who will win Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians?
Footyntel's model makes a home win for Vasco da Gama the most likely result at 47%. Full split: Vasco da Gama win 47%, draw 26%, Corinthians win 26%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.
What is the predicted score for Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians?
The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Vasco da Gama 1–1 Corinthians). Projected goals: Vasco da Gama 1.5, Corinthians 1.
Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring.
Where is Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians played?
Vasco da Gama host Corinthians at Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama in the Brasileirão Série A on 24 October 2026.
What is the Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians head-to-head record?
In the last 4 meetings in our data, Vasco da Gama have 1 win, Corinthians 3, and 0 were drawn.