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Brasileirão Série A · Fixtures

Vasco da Gama 3–2 Corinthians

Brasileirão Série A 2026 · Matchday 32 · Sat 24 Oct, 21:30 UTC · Full time

3 – 2

Vasco da Gama 3–2 Corinthians — Vasco da Gama won. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated Vasco da Gama to win at 47%, and the exact 3–2 scoreline at about 2%.

Pre-match model view

Vasco da Gama win
47%
Draw
26%
Corinthians win
26%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.5 – 1
Over 2.5 goals46%
Both teams score50%
Vasco da GamaWWDLW13th · 38 pts
CorinthiansLLLDL18th · 33 pts

Ahead of Vasco da Gama v Corinthians in the Brasileirão Série A on 24 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Vasco da Gama the most likely outcome at 47%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.5 for Vasco da Gama and 1 for Corinthians. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and 50% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Vasco da Gama goals down (↓), Corinthians goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

88410012126210995200452100221000000000012345012345

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings — Vasco da Gama 1W · 0D · 3L.

Vasco da Gama3–2Corinthians
Corinthians1–0Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama2–3Corinthians
Corinthians3–0Vasco da Gama

Recent form

Vasco da Gama
Wvs Corinthians3–2
L@ São Paulo0–1
Dvs Clube do Remo0–0
W@ Botafogo2–1
Wvs Coritiba5–0
Corinthians
L@ Vasco da Gama2–3
Dvs Vitória1–1
L@ Palmeiras1–4
L@ Internacional1–2
Lvs Fluminense1–3

FAQ

Who will win Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Vasco da Gama the most likely result at 47%. Full split: Vasco da Gama win 47%, draw 26%, Corinthians win 26%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Vasco da Gama 1–1 Corinthians). Projected goals: Vasco da Gama 1.5, Corinthians 1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians played?

Vasco da Gama host Corinthians at Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama in the Brasileirão Série A on 24 October 2026.

What is the Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians head-to-head record?

In the last 4 meetings in our data, Vasco da Gama have 1 win, Corinthians 3, and 0 were drawn.

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