Footyntel.

Brasileirão Série A · Fixtures

Santos 1–1 Bahia

Brasileirão Série A 2026 · Matchday 32 · Sun 25 Oct, 01:00 UTC · Full time

1 – 1

Santos 1–1 Bahia — the sides drew. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated a draw at 24%, and the exact 1–1 scoreline at about 11%.

Pre-match model view

Santos win
44%
Draw
24%
Bahia win
31%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.6 – 1.3
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams score58%
SantosWDLWD8th · 46 pts
BahiaLLWLD7th · 50 pts

Ahead of Santos v Bahia in the Brasileirão Série A on 25 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Santos the most likely outcome at 44%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.6 for Santos and 1.3 for Bahia. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and 58% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Santos goals down (↓), Bahia goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

5752109117310796310453100121100010000012345012345

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings — Santos 0W · 3D · 1L.

Santos1–1Bahia
Bahia2–2Santos
Bahia2–0Santos
Santos2–2Bahia

Recent form

Santos
Dvs Bahia1–1
W@ Fluminense2–1
L@ Mineiro1–2
Dvs Flamengo2–2
W@ São Paulo2–1
Bahia
D@ Santos1–1
Lvs Flamengo0–3
Wvs Mirassol1–0
L@ Palmeiras0–1
L@ Paranaense1–2

FAQ

Who will win Santos vs Bahia?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Santos the most likely result at 44%. Full split: Santos win 44%, draw 24%, Bahia win 31%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Santos vs Bahia?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Santos 1–1 Bahia). Projected goals: Santos 1.6, Bahia 1.3.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Santos vs Bahia played?

Santos host Bahia at Estádio Urbano Caldeira in the Brasileirão Série A on 25 October 2026.

What is the Santos vs Bahia head-to-head record?

In the last 4 meetings in our data, Santos have 0 wins, Bahia 1, and 3 were drawn.

← Brasileirão Série A table & projection