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Brasileirão Série A · Fixtures

Palmeiras vs Flamengo — Match Prediction

Brasileirão Série A 2026 · Matchday 36 · Sat 21 Nov, 00:00 UTC

Palmeiras win
43%
Draw
29%
Flamengo win
28%
Most likely score1–0
Projected goals1.2 – 0.9
Over 2.5 goals37%
Both teams score43%
PalmeirasDWWWW2nd · 70 pts
FlamengoWDWWW1st · 70 pts

Ahead of Palmeiras v Flamengo in the Brasileirão Série A on 21 November 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Palmeiras the most likely outcome at 43%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–0, with projected goals of 1.2 for Palmeiras and 0.9 for Flamengo. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and 43% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Palmeiras goals down (↓), Flamengo goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings — Palmeiras 1W · 0D · 2L.

Flamengo0–3Palmeiras
Flamengo3–2Palmeiras
Palmeiras0–2Flamengo

Recent form

Palmeiras
Wvs Bragantino2–0
W@ Paranaense2–0
Wvs Corinthians4–1
Wvs Bahia1–0
D@ Grêmio0–0
Flamengo
Wvs Mineiro3–2
W@ Bahia3–0
Wvs Fluminense1–0
D@ Santos2–2
Wvs Bragantino2–1

Palmeiras vs Flamengo Prediction: What Does Footyntel's Model Expect?

Footyntel's model anticipates a tightly contested Brasileirão Série A clash between SE Palmeiras and CR Flamengo at Allianz Parque. The prediction leverages a statistical approach that evaluates each team's attack and defence strengths, factoring in recent and historical performance data. By simulating the match using a Poisson goals model, the system generates win/draw/win probabilities, a most-likely scoreline, and projections for total goals and scoring patterns. While the exact numbers are available on the site, the model's strength lies in its analytical depth and reliance on data from football-data.org, offering a balanced view of the upcoming encounter.

Who Will Win Palmeiras vs Flamengo?

Determining the winner of Palmeiras vs Flamengo involves a nuanced analysis of several factors. Both teams boast impressive track records and have demonstrated their capabilities throughout the Brasileirão Série A. Here's how the key elements shape the prediction:

The model's simulation, blending these elements, provides a probabilistic outlook rather than a definitive answer. This approach underscores the complexity of football, where any number of variables can influence the final result.

Palmeiras vs Flamengo Head-to-Head: A Historical Perspective

When examining the head-to-head history between Palmeiras and Flamengo, several patterns emerge. Although Footyntel's data covers only three recent encounters, the general trend suggests that these matches are often closely fought affairs. Here's what the history tells us:

Both teams have demonstrated their ability to outplay each other on different occasions, with neither side holding a clear dominance. This parity is a testament to the quality and depth of both squads. The historical data, while not exhaustive, indicates that matches between Palmeiras and Flamengo are typically high-stakes, with both teams vying for crucial points.

These encounters are often characterized by tactical battles, where managers' strategies and players' execution play decisive roles. The head-to-head history, therefore, serves as a backdrop against which the upcoming match will be viewed, highlighting the competitive nature of this fixture.

What to Look for in Palmeiras vs Flamengo

As Palmeiras and Flamengo prepare to face off, several aspects of the game warrant close attention. These elements not only shape the match's dynamics but also influence the model's predictions:

1. Home Advantage and Crowd Influence

Playing at Allianz Parque, Palmeiras will look to leverage the home advantage. The support from their fans can boost the team's morale and potentially unsettle Flamengo. The atmosphere at Allianz Parque is known to be electric, and this could play a significant role in the match's outcome.

2. Attacking Prowess and Defensive Solidity

Both teams possess formidable attacking units capable of scoring goals from various situations. Flamengo's attack, in particular, has been a key strength, while Palmeiras' defence has been a cornerstone of their success. The clash between these contrasting styles will be fascinating to watch, as Flamengo seeks to break through Palmeiras' defence and Palmeiras aims to capitalize on Flamengo's defensive vulnerabilities.

3. Tactical Approaches and Managerial Decisions

The managers' tactical decisions will be crucial. Their choices in formation, player selection, and in-game adjustments can sway the match in their favour. The strategic battle between the two managers will be a key factor, as they seek to outwit each other and gain an advantage.

4. Momentum and Confidence

The general momentum and confidence of both teams will also play a part. Recent performances, both domestically and in other competitions, can impact the players' mindset and readiness for the match. Teams riding a wave of positive results often carry that confidence into their next fixture, potentially influencing the outcome.

5. The Unpredictability of Football

Finally, it's important to acknowledge the inherent unpredictability of football. Despite the model's detailed analysis, unexpected events, individual brilliance, or moments of luck can alter the course of the match. This unpredictability is part of what makes football so captivating, and it serves as a reminder that while data provides valuable insights, the beautiful game is ultimately about the thrill of competition and the joy of watching skilled athletes in action.

In conclusion, Palmeiras vs Flamengo promises to be a compelling encounter, with both teams vying for victory in what is expected to be a closely contested match. The model's predictions, combined with the factors outlined above, offer a comprehensive perspective on what fans can expect from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.

FAQ

Who will win Palmeiras vs Flamengo?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Palmeiras the most likely result at 43%. Full split: Palmeiras win 43%, draw 29%, Flamengo win 28%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Palmeiras vs Flamengo?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–0 (Palmeiras 1–0 Flamengo). Projected goals: Palmeiras 1.2, Flamengo 0.9.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Palmeiras vs Flamengo played?

Palmeiras host Flamengo at Allianz Parque in the Brasileirão Série A on 21 November 2026.

What is the Palmeiras vs Flamengo head-to-head record?

In the last 3 meetings in our data, Palmeiras have 1 win, Flamengo 2, and 0 were drawn.

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