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Brasileirão Série A · Fixtures

Mirassol 1–1 São Paulo

Brasileirão Série A 2026 · Matchday 32 · Sat 24 Oct, 19:30 UTC · Full time

1 – 1

Mirassol 1–1 São Paulo — the sides drew. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated a draw at 28%, and the exact 1–1 scoreline at about 13%.

Pre-match model view

Mirassol win
43%
Draw
28%
São Paulo win
29%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.3 – 1
Over 2.5 goals40%
Both teams score46%
MirassolWDLWD15th · 37 pts
São PauloLLWWD9th · 43 pts

Ahead of Mirassol v São Paulo in the Brasileirão Série A on 24 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Mirassol the most likely outcome at 43%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.3 for Mirassol and 1 for São Paulo. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and 46% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Mirassol goals down (↓), São Paulo goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

1010520013137210884100442100111000000000012345012345

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings — Mirassol 2W · 1D · 1L.

Mirassol1–1São Paulo
São Paulo1–0Mirassol
Mirassol3–0São Paulo
São Paulo0–2Mirassol

Recent form

Mirassol
Dvs São Paulo1–1
Wvs Internacional2–0
L@ Bahia0–1
D@ Bragantino1–1
Wvs Botafogo2–0
São Paulo
D@ Mirassol1–1
Wvs Vasco da Gama1–0
Wvs Vitória2–1
L@ Cruzeiro0–2
Lvs Santos1–2

FAQ

Who will win Mirassol vs São Paulo?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Mirassol the most likely result at 43%. Full split: Mirassol win 43%, draw 28%, São Paulo win 29%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Mirassol vs São Paulo?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Mirassol 1–1 São Paulo). Projected goals: Mirassol 1.3, São Paulo 1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Mirassol vs São Paulo played?

Mirassol host São Paulo at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia in the Brasileirão Série A on 24 October 2026.

What is the Mirassol vs São Paulo head-to-head record?

In the last 4 meetings in our data, Mirassol have 2 wins, São Paulo 1, and 1 was drawn.

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