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Brasileirão Série A · Fixtures

Coritiba vs Santos — Match Prediction

Brasileirão Série A 2026 · Matchday 35 · Wed 18 Nov, 00:00 UTC

Coritiba win
39%
Draw
25%
Santos win
37%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.5 – 1.4
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams score58%
CoritibaLLDLL12th · 39 pts
SantosWDLWD8th · 47 pts

Ahead of Coritiba v Santos in the Brasileirão Série A on 18 November 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Coritiba the most likely outcome at 39%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.5 for Coritiba and 1.4 for Santos. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and 58% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Coritiba goals down (↓), Santos goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 1 meeting — Coritiba 1W · 0D · 0L.

Santos0–3Coritiba

Recent form

Coritiba
Lvs Grêmio0–1
L@ Mineiro0–1
Dvs Botafogo1–1
L@ Fluminense0–4
L@ Vasco da Gama0–5
Santos
Dvs Bahia1–1
W@ Fluminense2–1
L@ Mineiro1–2
Dvs Flamengo2–2
W@ São Paulo2–1

How does Footyntel's model predict the Coritiba vs Santos match?

Footyntel's model approaches the Coritiba vs Santos prediction by meticulously analyzing each team's offensive and defensive capabilities, as demonstrated by their goals scored and conceded so far this season. The model then blends in last season's form to provide a comprehensive view of both teams' strengths and weaknesses. Using a Poisson goals model, the system simulates the match thousands of times to generate win/draw/win probabilities, a most-likely scoreline, projected goals, and the likelihood of over-2.5 goals and both teams scoring. This method ensures a data-driven prediction that reflects the current dynamics of both Coritiba and Santos.

What factors influence the Coritiba vs Santos prediction?

Several key factors shape the model's prediction for the Coritiba vs Santos match. Firstly, the home advantage for Coritiba at the Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira is a significant element. Historically, Coritiba has benefited from the support of their home crowd and familiar surroundings, which can boost their performance. Secondly, the attack and defence balance of both teams plays a crucial role. Coritiba's defensive solidity and Santos' attacking prowess will be pivotal in determining the match's outcome. The model considers these aspects alongside each team's recent form to provide a balanced prediction.

Who will win Coritiba vs Santos?

Determining the winner of the Coritiba vs Santos match involves a detailed examination of both teams' current form and historical performance. While the model does not predict a specific winner outright, it does provide probabilities that reflect the likelihood of each outcome. Coritiba, playing at home, will look to leverage their home advantage and defensive strength to secure a positive result. On the other hand, Santos, known for their attacking flair, will aim to exploit any weaknesses in Coritiba's defence. The model's simulations suggest a competitive match, with neither team having a clear-cut advantage.

Coritiba vs Santos head-to-head: What does history tell us?

When looking at the Coritiba vs Santos head-to-head history, it's important to note that the two clubs have met relatively few times in recent years according to Footyntel's data. While specific scorelines from past encounters are not provided, the general trend indicates that these matches are often closely contested. Both Coritiba and Santos have had their moments of dominance, but the rivalry is characterized by its unpredictability. This historical context suggests that the upcoming match will likely be a tight affair, with both teams vying for crucial points in the Brasileirão Série A.

What to look for in Coritiba vs Santos?

As we anticipate the Coritiba vs Santos match, several factors are worth keeping an eye on:

These elements will collectively influence the match's dynamics and could sway the result in favor of either Coritiba or Santos.

Honest Note on Football's Unpredictability

While Footyntel's model provides a statistical framework for predicting the Coritiba vs Santos match, it's essential to acknowledge the inherent unpredictability of football. Despite thorough analysis and data-driven predictions, the sport's unpredictable nature means that anything can happen on the pitch. Unexpected events, individual brilliance, or a moment of luck can all play a part in determining the outcome. Therefore, while the model offers valuable insights, it cannot account for every variable that might influence the match. Fans and analysts alike should approach the prediction with an understanding of this unpredictability, appreciating the beauty of football's uncertainty.

FAQ

Who will win Coritiba vs Santos?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Coritiba the most likely result at 39%. Full split: Coritiba win 39%, draw 25%, Santos win 37%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Coritiba vs Santos?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Coritiba 1–1 Santos). Projected goals: Coritiba 1.5, Santos 1.4.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Coritiba vs Santos played?

Coritiba host Santos at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira in the Brasileirão Série A on 18 November 2026.

What is the Coritiba vs Santos head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meeting in our data, Coritiba have 1 win, Santos 0, and 0 were drawn.

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