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Brasileirão Série A · Fixtures

Coritiba 0–1 Grêmio

Brasileirão Série A 2026 · Matchday 32 · Mon 26 Oct, 22:30 UTC · Full time

0 – 1

Coritiba 0–1 Grêmio — Grêmio won. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated Grêmio to win at 30%, and the exact 0–1 scoreline at about 9%.

Pre-match model view

Coritiba win
44%
Draw
26%
Grêmio win
30%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.4 – 1.1
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams score51%
CoritibaLLDLL12th · 39 pts
GrêmioDDDLW17th · 34 pts

Ahead of Coritiba v Grêmio in the Brasileirão Série A on 26 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Coritiba the most likely outcome at 44%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.4 for Coritiba and 1.1 for Grêmio. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and 51% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Coritiba goals down (↓), Grêmio goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

89521011137310895210442100121000000000012345012345

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Coritiba 0W · 0D · 2L.

Coritiba0–1Grêmio
Grêmio1–0Coritiba

Recent form

Coritiba
Lvs Grêmio0–1
L@ Mineiro0–1
Dvs Botafogo1–1
L@ Fluminense0–4
L@ Vasco da Gama0–5
Grêmio
W@ Coritiba1–0
Lvs Cruzeiro2–4
Dvs Internacional1–1
D@ Clube do Remo1–1
Dvs Palmeiras0–0

FAQ

Who will win Coritiba vs Grêmio?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Coritiba the most likely result at 44%. Full split: Coritiba win 44%, draw 26%, Grêmio win 30%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Coritiba vs Grêmio?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Coritiba 1–1 Grêmio). Projected goals: Coritiba 1.4, Grêmio 1.1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Coritiba vs Grêmio played?

Coritiba host Grêmio at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira in the Brasileirão Série A on 26 October 2026.

What is the Coritiba vs Grêmio head-to-head record?

In the last 2 meetings in our data, Coritiba have 0 wins, Grêmio 2, and 0 were drawn.

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