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Brasileirão Série A · Fixtures

Coritiba vs Flamengo — Match Prediction

Brasileirão Série A 2026 · Matchday 37 · Sat 28 Nov, 00:00 UTC

Coritiba win
15%
Draw
21%
Flamengo win
64%
Most likely score0–2
Projected goals0.9 – 2
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams score50%
CoritibaLLDLL12th · 39 pts
FlamengoWDWWW1st · 70 pts

Ahead of Coritiba v Flamengo in the Brasileirão Série A on 28 November 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Flamengo the most likely outcome at 64%. The single most probable scoreline is 0–2, with projected goals of 0.9 for Coritiba and 2 for Flamengo. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and 50% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Coritiba goals down (↓), Flamengo goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 1 meeting — Coritiba 0W · 0D · 1L.

Flamengo3–0Coritiba

Recent form

Coritiba
Lvs Grêmio0–1
L@ Mineiro0–1
Dvs Botafogo1–1
L@ Fluminense0–4
L@ Vasco da Gama0–5
Flamengo
Wvs Mineiro3–2
W@ Bahia3–0
Wvs Fluminense1–0
D@ Santos2–2
Wvs Bragantino2–1

What does Footyntel's model expect from Coritiba vs Flamengo, and how is the prediction made?

Footyntel's prediction model for the upcoming Brasileirão Série A clash between Coritiba and Flamengo leverages a blend of statistical analysis and simulation techniques. The approach begins by evaluating each team's offensive and defensive metrics, factoring in goals scored and conceded so far this season, while also considering last season's performance to ensure stability in the predictions. The model then employs a Poisson goals model to simulate the match thousands of times, generating probabilities for win, draw, and loss outcomes, as well as projected scorelines and over-under statistics. These simulations are grounded in historical data and current season trends, providing a comprehensive forecast for the Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira encounter.

How does home advantage at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira influence the Coritiba vs Flamengo prediction?

Home advantage plays a crucial role in shaping the model's outlook for the Coritiba vs Flamengo fixture. Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira is renowned for its vibrant atmosphere and passionate fan base, which can significantly impact the performance of Coritiba players. Historically, home teams in the Brasileirão Série A have enjoyed a slight edge, and Coritiba's record at home further underscores this trend. The model accounts for this by adjusting Coritiba's expected performance metrics upwards, reflecting the potential boost from playing in familiar surroundings. However, Flamengo's strong away form and experience in high-pressure environments will also be factored in, ensuring a balanced prediction that considers both sides of the equation.

Who will win Coritiba vs Flamengo?

Predicting the winner of Coritiba vs Flamengo involves a nuanced analysis of several factors. Coritiba, as the home team, will look to capitalize on their home advantage and recent performances to secure a positive result. On the other hand, Flamengo, with their rich history and talented squad, will aim to assert their dominance and continue their strong run in the Brasileirão Série A. The model's simulation takes into account the attacking prowess and defensive solidity of both teams, providing a probabilistic assessment rather than a definitive answer. While the exact win probabilities and most likely scoreline are detailed elsewhere on the page, it's important to remember that football is inherently unpredictable, and any prediction should be viewed with a degree of caution.

Coritiba vs Flamengo head-to-head: What does history tell us?

When examining the head-to-head history between Coritiba and Flamengo, it's clear that these two clubs have shared some intense battles over the years. While Footyntel's data holds records of only one recent encounter, the general trend suggests that Flamengo has often held the upper hand in this fixture. However, it's essential to consider that past results are just one piece of the puzzle. The current form, squad dynamics, and tactical approaches of both managers can significantly alter the outcome. Coritiba will be eager to defy the odds and turn the tide in their favor, while Flamengo will aim to maintain their historical dominance. The model's prediction will reflect the most up-to-date information, providing a fresh perspective on this storied rivalry.

What to look for in Coritiba vs Flamengo?

As fans and analysts gear up for the Coritiba vs Flamengo clash, several key aspects will be worth monitoring:

These elements, combined with the model's projections, will provide a comprehensive view of the match. However, it's important to remember that football is a sport of surprises, and the beauty of the game lies in its unpredictability.

Interactive Tools: Enhancing Your Match Analysis

Footyntel offers an interactive "what-if" simulator that allows users to explore different scenarios and outcomes for the Coritiba vs Flamengo match. This tool, along with the scoreline-probability heatmap, provides a visual representation of the model's predictions, enabling fans to delve deeper into the potential dynamics of the game. Whether you're a seasoned analyst or a casual observer, these tools offer valuable insights and enhance your matchday experience.

In conclusion, while Footyntel's model provides a data-driven forecast for Coritiba vs Flamengo, the inherent unpredictability of football means that anything is possible. Enjoy the match and embrace the excitement that comes with every Brasileirão Série A fixture.

FAQ

Who will win Coritiba vs Flamengo?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Flamengo the most likely result at 64%. Full split: Coritiba win 15%, draw 21%, Flamengo win 64%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Coritiba vs Flamengo?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 0–2 (Coritiba 0–2 Flamengo). Projected goals: Coritiba 0.9, Flamengo 2.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Coritiba vs Flamengo played?

Coritiba host Flamengo at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira in the Brasileirão Série A on 28 November 2026.

What is the Coritiba vs Flamengo head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meeting in our data, Coritiba have 0 wins, Flamengo 1, and 0 were drawn.

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