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Brasileirão Série A · Fixtures

Chapecoense 2–1 Fluminense

Brasileirão Série A 2026 · Matchday 32 · Sat 24 Oct, 22:30 UTC · Full time

2 – 1

Chapecoense 2–1 Fluminense — Chapecoense won. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated Chapecoense to win at 23%, and the exact 2–1 scoreline at about 6%.

Pre-match model view

Chapecoense win
23%
Draw
23%
Fluminense win
54%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.2 – 1.9
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams score58%
ChapecoenseDLLLW20th · 21 pts
FluminenseWWLLL5th · 51 pts

Ahead of Chapecoense v Fluminense in the Brasileirão Série A on 24 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Fluminense the most likely outcome at 54%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.2 for Chapecoense and 1.9 for Fluminense. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and 58% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Chapecoense goals down (↓), Fluminense goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

59952161010631366421122110011000000000012345012345

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Chapecoense 1W · 0D · 1L.

Chapecoense2–1Fluminense
Fluminense2–1Chapecoense

Recent form

Chapecoense
Wvs Fluminense2–1
L@ Botafogo0–1
Lvs Paranaense1–4
L@ Vitória0–4
D@ Mineiro1–1
Fluminense
L@ Chapecoense1–2
Lvs Santos1–2
L@ Flamengo0–1
Wvs Coritiba4–0
W@ Corinthians3–1

FAQ

Who will win Chapecoense vs Fluminense?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Fluminense the most likely result at 54%. Full split: Chapecoense win 23%, draw 23%, Fluminense win 54%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Chapecoense vs Fluminense?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Chapecoense 1–1 Fluminense). Projected goals: Chapecoense 1.2, Fluminense 1.9.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Chapecoense vs Fluminense played?

Chapecoense host Fluminense at Arena Condá in the Brasileirão Série A on 24 October 2026.

What is the Chapecoense vs Fluminense head-to-head record?

In the last 2 meetings in our data, Chapecoense have 1 win, Fluminense 1, and 0 were drawn.

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